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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
6 – 4
Final
Mariners -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, March 26
10:10 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
Seattle
Mariners
SM rating 1495 · #15
CLE 45%SEA 55%
Fair moneyline
+122 / -122
CLE / SEA, no vig
Market win %
38% / 62%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +7 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 38% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1495
CLE / SEA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
+155
BetMGM
+155 +155
Mariners
Moneyline
-185
BetMGM
-185 -185
Guardians
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1.5-154 +1.5-149
Mariners
Spread
-1.5+130
BetMGM
-1.5+130 -1.5+125
Over
Total
6.5-120
BetMGM
6.5-120 6.5-120
Under
Total
6.5+100
BetMGM
6.5+100 6.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.0%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SEA line
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+210-286 -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+130-154 +125-149
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-357+250 -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-714+425 -

Top number: SEA at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-625+400 -
4
Over / Under
-556+360 -
4.5
Over / Under
-357+250 -
5
Over / Under
-294+210 -
5.5
Over / Under
-182+140 -
6
Over / Under
-154+120 -
6.5
Over / Under
-120+100 -120+100
7
Over / Under
+110-143 -
7.5
Over / Under
+140-182 -
8
Over / Under
+175-238 -
8.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
9
Over / Under
+270-385 -
9.5
Over / Under
+300-455 -
10
Over / Under
+375-588 -
10.5
Over / Under
+400-625 -
11
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
11.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
12
Over / Under
+700-1667 -
12.5
Over / Under
+725-1667 -
13
Over / Under
+950-3333 -
13.5
Over / Under
+950-3333 -
14
Over / Under
+1200-10000 -
14.5
Over / Under
+1200-10000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.