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SharpModels rated

NFL odds

Best moneyline, spread and total for every game across the books we track, with SharpModels' win probability for each matchup.

Thursday, October 29

1 game

Sunday, November 1

12 games
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Ravens
Model 26%
+3.5-116FAN O 53-108BR +160DK
Bills
Model 74%
-3.5+100KAL U 53.5-108DK -177BR
7 books BUF 74% vs mkt 62%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Titans
Model 14%
+10.5-110365 O 46-112BR +480FD
Bengals
Model 86%
-10.5-104KAL U 46.5-108MGM -525KAL
7 books CIN 86% vs mkt 82%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Cardinals
Model 33%
+6.5-110BR O 53.5-112BR +250BR
Cowboys
Model 67%
-6.5-104KAL U 54.5-110MGM -285KAL
7 books ARI 33% vs mkt 28%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Vikings
Model 50%
+3+100FAN O 46.5-106365 +155MGM
Lions
Model 50%
-3-112DK U 46.5-110DK -162BR
7 books MIN 50% vs mkt 39%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Raiders
Model 47%
+1-112MGM O 45-111FAN -105MGM
Jets
Model 53%
-1.5+102DK U 45.5-108FD -104KAL
7 books NYJ 53% vs mkt 50%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Browns
Model 28%
+3.5-106FD O 39-110BR +166FD
Steelers
Model 72%
-3.5-108KAL U 38.5+100KAL -180DK
7 books PIT 72% vs mkt 63%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Falcons
Model 42%
+1.5-101365 O 45.5-108BR +118BR
Buccaneers
Model 58%
-2.5-105DK U 46.5-111365 -132FAN
7 books TB 58% vs mkt 55%
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Colts
Model 22%
+7.5-105MGM O 46.5-108BR +330FD
Jaguars
Model 78%
-7.5-110FD U 46.5-104KAL -376KAL
7 books JAX 78% vs mkt 77%
Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Chargers
Model 22%
+6.5-105FD O 43.5-109BR +245BR
Rams
Model 78%
-6.5-111FAN U 44.5-112MGM -285DK
7 books LAR 78% vs mkt 72%
Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Chiefs
Model 36%
-1.5-108MGM O 41-109BR -120MGM
Broncos
Model 64%
+1.5-110MGM U 41.5-110MGM +105DK
7 books DEN 64% vs mkt 47%
Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Patriots
Model 69%
-7.5+104KAL O 44.5-104KAL -370FD
Dolphins
Model 31%
+7-102MGM U 44.5-108MGM +325BR
7 books MIA 31% vs mkt 24%
Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Eagles
Model 58%
+4.5-112DK O 40-109BR +175365
Commanders
Model 42%
-4-110MGM U 40.5-108MGM -200MGM
7 books PHI 58% vs mkt 36%

Monday, November 2

1 game

How to read NFL odds

Moneyline

Who wins the game. Odds are American: -150 means you risk $150 to win $100; +130 means a $100 bet wins $130. The header switch shows them as decimal odds or an implied probability instead.

Spread

The point spread: the favorite has to win by more than the line, and the underdog covers by losing by less or winning. When books post different lines, the best price weighs the line against the odds; half a point matters most around 3 and 7, the most common winning margins.

Total

Over or under the combined points scored by both teams. The best over is the lowest line at a fair price, the best under the highest.

Best price

The gold price is the best on offer for that side across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics, bet365 and Kalshi. Taking the best price on offer means a winning bet pays more.

SharpModels

Each game shows SharpModels' win probability, a benchmark built only from team ratings. When it disagrees with the market by a lot, there's usually a reason the ratings can't see, like an injury; check the game page.

Line moves

We record every price change. Each game page charts how the spread, total and moneyline have moved at every book since we first saw them.