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SharpModels rated

Premier League odds

Best moneyline, spread and total for every game across the books we track, with SharpModels' win probability for each matchup.

Saturday, October 31

8 games
Sat, Oct 31, 8:30 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Chelsea
Model 47%
-0.75+103365 O 3-111365 -116FAN
Draw
Model 27%
+290BR
Man Utd
Model 27%
+0.75-120365 U 3-105365 +310365
6 books MAN 27% vs mkt 23%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Bournemouth
Model 48%
-0.5+110FAN O 2.5-114FD +115FAN
Draw
Model 27%
+250BR
Leeds
Model 26%
+0.25+103365 U 2.5-102365 +240BR
6 books BOU 48% vs mkt 44%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Brentford
Model 51%
-0.5+100365 O 2.75-108365 +100BR
Draw
Model 26%
+280DK
Nottm Forest
Model 23%
+0.5-118365 U 2.75-108365 +275365
6 books BRE 51% vs mkt 48%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Coventry
Model 40%
+0.25-118365 O 2.5-108KAL +203KAL
Draw
Model 28%
+240FD
Sunderland
Model 32%
-0.5+135FAN U 2.5-110FD +140FAN
6 books COV 40% vs mkt 32%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Hull
Model 31%
-0.5+150FAN O 2.5-118BR +160BR
Draw
Model 28%
+250FD
Ipswich
Model 41%
PK-102365 U 2.5+100365 +170BR
6 books IPS 41% vs mkt 36%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Man City
Model 58%
-0.75-125365 O 3.25-105365 -147FAN
Draw
Model 23%
+340DK
Brighton
Model 19%
+0.75+105365 U 3.5-134FD +370BR
6 books MNC 58% vs mkt 57%
Sat, Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Spurs
Model 50%
-1.5+140FAN O 3-105365 -190BR
Draw
Model 26%
+375365
C Palace
Model 24%
+1-102365 U 2.5+138FD +475FAN
6 books CRY 24% vs mkt 17%
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Aston Villa
Model 58%
-0.5-102365 O 2.75-114365 +100FD
Draw
Model 24%
+280FAN
Fulham
Model 19%
+0.5-114365 U 2.75-102365 +260FAN
6 books AVL 58% vs mkt 48%

Sunday, November 1

1 game

Monday, November 2

1 game

How to read Premier League odds

Moneyline (3-way)

Home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties don't count. Odds are American: -150 means you risk $150 to win $100; +260 means a $100 bet wins $260. The header switch shows them as decimal odds or an implied probability instead.

Spread

A goal handicap. -0.5 means the team has to win; +0.5 wins if it wins or draws. Asian handicaps add whole and quarter lines: at -1 a one-goal win refunds the stake, and -0.25 splits the stake between 0 and -0.5. Half a goal around the draw matters most.

Total

Over or under the goals scored by both teams; 2.5 is the usual line. Quarter lines like 2.75 split the stake between 2.5 and 3. The best over is the lowest line at a fair price, the best under the highest.

Best price

The gold price is the best on offer for that outcome across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, bet365 and Kalshi. Taking the best price on offer means a winning bet pays more.

SharpModels

Each game shows SharpModels' win, draw and loss probabilities, a benchmark built only from team ratings. When it disagrees with the market by a lot, there's usually a reason the ratings can't see, like injuries or a rotated lineup; check the team news.

Line moves

We record every price change. Each game page charts how the spread, total and moneyline have moved at every book since we first saw them.