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Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres odds

Detroit
Tigers
SM rating 1486 · #20
8 – 2
Final
Tigers -1.5 covered
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, March 26
4:10 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
DET 42%SD 58%
Fair moneyline
+136 / -136
DET / SD, no vig
Market win %
54% / 46%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +11 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1486 / 1552
DET / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Tigers
Moneyline
-125
BetMGM
-125 -130
Padres
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+105 +110
Tigers
Spread
-1.5+140
BetMGM
-1.5+140 -1.5+140
Padres
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1.5-167 +1.5-164
Over
Total
7-110
BetMGM
7-110 7-110
Under
Total
7-110
BetMGM
7-110 7-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.2%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-2.5
DET +2.5
+350-526 -
-1.5
DET +1.5
+220-303 -
+1.5
DET -1.5
-167+140 -164+140
+2.5
DET -2.5
-333+240 -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: DET at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
4
Over / Under
-714+425 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+310 -
5
Over / Under
-385+270 -
5.5
Over / Under
-238+175 -
6
Over / Under
-200+154 -
6.5
Over / Under
-154+118 -
7
Over / Under
-110-110 -110-110
7.5
Over / Under
+118-154 -
8
Over / Under
+145-189 -
8.5
Over / Under
+165-222 -
9
Over / Under
+220-303 -
9.5
Over / Under
+250-357 -
10
Over / Under
+310-455 -
10.5
Over / Under
+333-500 -
11
Over / Under
+450-769 -
11.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
12
Over / Under
+600-1250 -
12.5
Over / Under
+625-1250 -
13
Over / Under
+825-2000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+825-2500 -
14
Over / Under
+1000-3333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+1050-5000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.