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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
7 – 11
Final
Mets -1.5 covered
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, March 26
1:15 PM ET
Citi Field
New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
PIT 41%NYM 59%
Fair moneyline
+143 / -143
PIT / NYM, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYM +7 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1493
PIT / NYM, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+105 +100
Mets
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
-115 -120
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+180
BetMGM
-1.5+180 +1.5-233
Mets
Spread
-1.5+190
bet365
+1.5-222 -1.5+190
Over
Total
7-115
BetMGM
7-115 7-115
Under
Total
7-105
BetMGM
7-105 7-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.2% 2.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYM line
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+300-455 -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+180-222 +190-233
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-222+180 -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-400+275 -

Top number: NYM at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
4
Over / Under
-833+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
-500+333 -
5
Over / Under
-417+290 -
5.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -
6
Over / Under
-208+160 -
6.5
Over / Under
-167+125 -
7
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105
7.5
Over / Under
+110-143 -
8
Over / Under
+135-175 -
8.5
Over / Under
+154-200 -
9
Over / Under
+210-286 -
9.5
Over / Under
+240-333 -
10
Over / Under
+300-455 -
10.5
Over / Under
+320-476 -
11
Over / Under
+425-714 -
11.5
Over / Under
+450-769 -
12
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
12.5
Over / Under
+600-1111 -
13
Over / Under
+800-2000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+825-2000 -
14
Over / Under
+1000-3333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+1000-3333 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.