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Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds

Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
10 – 4
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, March 26
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
WSH 36%CHC 64%
Fair moneyline
+174 / -174
WSH / CHC, no vig
Market win %
35% / 65%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
WSH +1 pts
SharpModels 36% · market 35% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1530
WSH / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Nationals
Moneyline
+175
bet365
+170 +175
Cubs
Moneyline
-208
BetMGM
-208 -208
Nationals
Spread
+1.5-130
BetMGM
+1.5-130 +1.5-130
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+110
BetMGM
-1.5+110 -1.5+110
Over
Total
7+100
bet365
7-105 7+100
Under
Total
7-115
BetMGM
7-115 7-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.7% 4.4%3.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-2.5
WSH +2.5
+180-238 -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
+110-130 +110-130
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-400+280 -
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-769+450 -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-769+450 -
4
Over / Under
-714+425 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+300 -
5
Over / Under
-357+250 -
5.5
Over / Under
-222+165 -
6
Over / Under
-189+145 -
6.5
Over / Under
-149+115 -
7
Over / Under
-105-115 +100-120
7.5
Over / Under
+120-154 -
8
Over / Under
+150-200 -
8.5
Over / Under
+170-227 -
9
Over / Under
+240-333 -
9.5
Over / Under
+270-385 -
10
Over / Under
+325-500 -
10.5
Over / Under
+350-526 -
11
Over / Under
+475-833 -
11.5
Over / Under
+500-909 -
12
Over / Under
+625-1250 -
12.5
Over / Under
+650-1429 -
13
Over / Under
+875-2500 -
13.5
Over / Under
+875-2500 -
14
Over / Under
+1050-5000 -
14.5
Over / Under
+1050-5000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.