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Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Texas
Rangers
SM rating 1493 · #18
5 – 4
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, March 28
4:05 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
TEX 39%PHI 61%
Fair moneyline
+155 / -155
TEX / PHI, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +3 pts
SharpModels 61% · market 57% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1544
TEX / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Rangers
Moneyline
+125
BetMGM
+125 +125
Phillies
Moneyline
-149
BetMGM
-149 -149
Rangers
Spread
+1.5-169
bet365
+1.5-175 +1.5-169
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+145
BetMGM
-1.5+145 -1.5+145
Over
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-2.5
TEX +2.5
+240-333 -
-1.5
TEX +1.5
+145-175 +145-169
+1.5
TEX -1.5
-278+200 -
+2.5
TEX -2.5
-476+320 -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: TEX at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1111+575 -
4
Over / Under
-1000+550 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-526+340 -
5.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-200+154 -
7
Over / Under
-154+120 -
7.5
Over / Under
-110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+340-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+450-769 -
12.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
13
Over / Under
+650-1429 -
13.5
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14
Over / Under
+825-2500 -
14.5
Over / Under
+850-2500 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.