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Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros odds

Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
1 – 8
Final
Red Sox -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, March 30
8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
BOS 46%HOU 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
BOS / HOU, no vig
Market win %
55% / 45%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +9 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1506
BOS / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Red Sox
Moneyline
-130
BetMGM
-130 -135
Astros
Moneyline
+115
bet365
+110 +115
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+130
BetMGM
-1.5+130 -1.5+125
Astros
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1.5-154 +1.5-149
Over
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-115 8.5-115
Under
Total
8.5-105
bet365
8.5-105 8.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.9% 4.0%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-2.5
BOS +2.5
+320-476 -
-1.5
BOS +1.5
+210-286 -
+1.5
BOS -1.5
-154+130 -149+125
+2.5
BOS -2.5
-278+200 -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: BOS at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
-2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
-1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+310 -
6
Over / Under
-417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-179+135 -
8
Over / Under
-149+115 -
8.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105
9
Over / Under
+105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+160-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+320-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
14
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
+600-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.