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San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres odds

San Francisco
Giants
SM rating 1452 · #27
3 – 2
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Monday, March 30
9:40 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
SF 41%SD 59%
Fair moneyline
+145 / -145
SF / SD, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +7 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1452 / 1552
SF / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Giants
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-102 +100
Padres
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-118 -120
Giants
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1.5+165 +1.5-208
Padres
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
+1.5-200 -1.5+175
Over
Total
8.5+100
BetMGM
8.5+100 8-120
Under
Total
8+100
bet365
8.5-120 8+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.4%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-2.5
SF +2.5
+270-385 -
-1.5
SF +1.5
+170-227 +175-208
+1.5
SF -1.5
-200+165 -
+2.5
SF -2.5
-333+240 -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: SF at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
-1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-154+118 -
8
Over / Under
-128-102 -120+100
8.5
Over / Under
+100-120 -
9
Over / Under
+125-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+154-200 -
10
Over / Under
+185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+300-455 -
12
Over / Under
+360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
+525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
+650-1429 -
14.5
Over / Under
+675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.