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Baltimore Orioles at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
4 – 5
Final
Orioles -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, April 3
4:12 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
BAL 50%PIT 50%
Fair moneyline
+101 / -101
BAL / PIT, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PIT +2 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1502 / 1493
BAL / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Orioles
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
-115 -120
Pirates
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+105 +100
Orioles
Spread
-1.5+140
BetMGM
-1.5+140 -1.5+135
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1.5-169 +1.5-159
Over
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-115 8.5-115
Under
Total
8.5-105
BetMGM
8.5-105 8.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.2% 2.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-2.5
BAL +2.5
+310-455 -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
+200-278 -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
-169+140 -159+135
+2.5
BAL -2.5
-286+210 -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-2000+775 -
4
Over / Under
-1667+750 -
4.5
Over / Under
-1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+310 -
6
Over / Under
-400+280 -
6.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-175+135 -
8
Over / Under
-149+115 -
8.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105
9
Over / Under
+105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+135-175 -
10
Over / Under
+160-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+320-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
14
Over / Under
+600-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
+625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.