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Milwaukee Brewers at Kansas City Royals odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
8 – 5
Final
Royals -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, April 5
2:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
MIL 54%KC 46%
Fair moneyline
-116 / +116
MIL / KC, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +6 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1462
MIL / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+105 +100
Royals
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-125 -120
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+180
BetMGM
-1.5+180 +1.5-208
Royals
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
+1.5-222 -1.5+175
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+275-400 -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+180-222 +175-208
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-222+180 -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-385+270 -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1111+575 -
4
Over / Under
-1000+525 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-526+340 -
5.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-200+150 -
7
Over / Under
-154+120 -
7.5
Over / Under
-110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+350-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
13
Over / Under
+650-1429 -
13.5
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14
Over / Under
+850-2500 -
14.5
Over / Under
+850-2500 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.