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Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
4 – 6
Final
Rays -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, April 6
4:10 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
CHC 49%TB 51%
Fair moneyline
+103 / -103
CHC / TB, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +2 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1550
CHC / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+100 +105
Rays
Moneyline
-120
BetMGM
-120 -125
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+170
BetMGM
-1.5+170 +1.5-200
Rays
Spread
-1.5+165
bet365
+1.5-208 -1.5+165
Over
Total
8+100
BetMGM
8+100 7.5-120
Under
Total
7.5+100
bet365
8-120 7.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.3%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+290-417 -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+175-238 +165-200
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-208+170 -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-357+250 -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1250+600 -
4
Over / Under
-1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5
Over / Under
-556+360 -
5.5
Over / Under
-333+240 -
6
Over / Under
-286+210 -
6.5
Over / Under
-222+165 -
7
Over / Under
-169+130 -
7.5
Over / Under
-125-102 -120+100
8
Over / Under
+100-120 -
8.5
Over / Under
+115-149 -
9
Over / Under
+150-200 -
9.5
Over / Under
+180-238 -
10
Over / Under
+220-303 -
10.5
Over / Under
+240-333 -
11
Over / Under
+320-476 -
11.5
Over / Under
+340-526 -
12
Over / Under
+425-714 -
12.5
Over / Under
+450-769 -
13
Over / Under
+600-1111 -
13.5
Over / Under
+625-1250 -
14
Over / Under
+775-2000 -
14.5
Over / Under
+775-2000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.