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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
4 – 2
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Monday, April 6
6:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
KC 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+140 / -140
KC / CLE, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +7 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1516
KC / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
-102
BetMGM
-102 -105
Guardians
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-118 -115
Royals
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1.5+165 +1.5-227
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+185
bet365
+1.5-200 -1.5+185
Over
Total
7-115
bet365
7-120 7-115
Under
Total
7+100
BetMGM
7+100 7-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.4%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-2.5
KC +2.5
+300-455 -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+185-250 +185-227
+1.5
KC -1.5
-200+165 -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-385+270 -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
4
Over / Under
-833+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
-526+340 -
5
Over / Under
-455+300 -
5.5
Over / Under
-278+200 -
6
Over / Under
-227+170 -
6.5
Over / Under
-175+135 -
7
Over / Under
-120+100 -115-105
7.5
Over / Under
+105-135 -
8
Over / Under
+125-161 -
8.5
Over / Under
+145-189 -
9
Over / Under
+185-250 -
9.5
Over / Under
+220-303 -
10
Over / Under
+275-400 -
10.5
Over / Under
+290-417 -
11
Over / Under
+400-625 -
11.5
Over / Under
+425-714 -
12
Over / Under
+525-1000 -
12.5
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
13
Over / Under
+725-1667 -
13.5
Over / Under
+750-1667 -
14
Over / Under
+950-3333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+950-3333 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.