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Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
8 – 6
Final
Brewers -1.5 covered
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Monday, April 6
6:45 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
MIL 51%BOS 49%
Fair moneyline
-106 / +106
MIL / BOS, no vig
Market win %
55% / 45%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +4 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1530
MIL / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-130
bet365
-139 -130
Red Sox
Moneyline
+115
BetMGM
+115 +110
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+125
BetMGM
-1.5+125 -1.5+125
Red Sox
Spread
+1.5-149
BetMGM
+1.5-149 +1.5-149
Over
Total
8-110
bet365
8-118 8-110
Under
Total
8-102
BetMGM
8-102 8-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.9% 4.5%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+350-526 -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+220-303 -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-149+125 -149+125
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-278+200 -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
-1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-208+155 -
7.5
Over / Under
-143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-118-102 -110-110
8.5
Over / Under
+100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+130-169 -
9.5
Over / Under
+155-208 -
10
Over / Under
+185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+400-667 -
13
Over / Under
+525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14.5
Over / Under
+700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.