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Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
6 – 3
Final
Marlins -1.5 did not cover
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, April 7
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
CIN 48%MIA 52%
Fair moneyline
+108 / -108
CIN / MIA, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +4 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1491
CIN / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+115 +120
Marlins
Moneyline
-135
BetMGM
-135 -141
Reds
Spread
+1.5-189
bet365
+1.5-189 +1.5-189
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1.5+155 -1.5+160
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
7-125 7.5+100
Under
Total
7+105
BetMGM
7+105 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 3.8%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+250-357 -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+155-189 +160-189
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-250+185 -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-455+310 -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
4
Over / Under
-769+450 -
4.5
Over / Under
-500+333 -
5
Over / Under
-417+290 -
5.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -
6
Over / Under
-222+165 -
6.5
Over / Under
-169+130 -
7
Over / Under
-125+105 -125+105
7.5
Over / Under
+105-139 +100-120
8
Over / Under
+130-169 -
8.5
Over / Under
+150-200 -
9
Over / Under
+200-278 -
9.5
Over / Under
+240-333 -
10
Over / Under
+290-417 -
10.5
Over / Under
+310-455 -
11
Over / Under
+400-667 -
11.5
Over / Under
+425-714 -
12
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
12.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
13
Over / Under
+775-2000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+800-2000 -
14
Over / Under
+950-3333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+950-3333 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.