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Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
6 – 2
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Push on 8
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, April 8
6:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
CHC 49%TB 51%
Fair moneyline
+105 / -105
CHC / TB, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +0 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1550
CHC / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+100
BetMGM
+100 -105
Rays
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-110 -115
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1.5+150 -1.5+160
Rays
Spread
+1.5-179
BetMGM
+1.5-179 +1.5-189
Over
Total
8-120
bet365
8-120 8-120
Under
Total
8+100
bet365
8+100 8+100
Margin
Moneyline
2.3% 2.3%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+300-455 -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+185-250 -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-179+150 -189+160
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-303+225 -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
-1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+190 -
7
Over / Under
-208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+115 -
8
Over / Under
-120+100 -120+100
8.5
Over / Under
-102-125 -
9
Over / Under
+125-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+154-200 -
10
Over / Under
+185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+300-455 -
12
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+400-625 -
13
Over / Under
+525-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14.5
Over / Under
+700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.