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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
6 – 7
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Over 12.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, April 12
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
PIT 41%CHC 59%
Fair moneyline
+145 / -145
PIT / CHC, no vig
Market win %
45% / 55%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +4 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 55% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1530
PIT / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+115
bet365
+110 +115
Cubs
Moneyline
-130
BetMGM
-130 -135
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1.5-169 +1.5-159
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+140
BetMGM
-1.5+140 -1.5+135
Over
Total
12.5-102
BetMGM
12.5-102 12.5-105
Under
Total
12.5-115
bet365
12.5-118 12.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
2.9% 4.0%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+200-278 -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+140-169 +135-159
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-208+160 -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-303+220 -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-10000+2500 -
4
Over / Under
-10000+2500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-10000+1550 -
5
Over / Under
-10000+1500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-2500+900 -
6
Over / Under
-2500+900 -
6.5
Over / Under
-1429+675 -
7
Over / Under
-1429+650 -
7.5
Over / Under
-769+450 -
8
Over / Under
-714+425 -
8.5
Over / Under
-500+325 -
9
Over / Under
-455+300 -
9.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
10
Over / Under
-278+200 -
10.5
Over / Under
-222+165 -
11
Over / Under
-182+140 -
11.5
Over / Under
-143+110 -
12
Over / Under
-125-105 -
12.5
Over / Under
-102-118 -105-115
13
Over / Under
+118-154 -
13.5
Over / Under
+140-182 -
14
Over / Under
+165-222 -
14.5
Over / Under
+180-238 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.