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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
11 – 2
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, April 15
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
CHC 43%PHI 57%
Fair moneyline
+133 / -133
CHC / PHI, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +1 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 56% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1544
CHC / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+118 +120
Phillies
Moneyline
-139
BetMGM
-139 -141
Cubs
Spread
+1.5-169
BetMGM
+1.5-169 +1.5-169
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1.5+140 -1.5+145
Over
Total
9+100
BetMGM
9+100 9-105
Under
Total
9-115
bet365
9-120 9-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 3.9%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+190-250 -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+140-169 +145-169
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-238+175 -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-385+270 -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-2500+825 -
4
Over / Under
-2000+800 -
4.5
Over / Under
-1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
-1000+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-500+333 -
6
Over / Under
-455+310 -
6.5
Over / Under
-333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-278+200 -
7.5
Over / Under
-189+145 -
8
Over / Under
-167+125 -
8.5
Over / Under
-128+100 -
9
Over / Under
+100-120 -105-115
9.5
Over / Under
+125-161 -
10
Over / Under
+150-200 -
10.5
Over / Under
+165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+210-294 -
11.5
Over / Under
+240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+310-455 -
13
Over / Under
+425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+450-769 -
14
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.