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Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres odds

Seattle
Mariners
SM rating 1495 · #15
2 – 5
Final
Mariners -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, April 16
8:40 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
SEA 44%SD 56%
Fair moneyline
+126 / -126
SEA / SD, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +8 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1495 / 1552
SEA / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mariners
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-120 -120
Padres
Moneyline
+100
bet365
+100 +100
Mariners
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1.5+140 -1.5+140
Padres
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1.5-169 +1.5-164
Over
Total
8.5-105
bet365
8.5-105 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-115 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.3% 4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-2.5
SEA +2.5
+300-455 -
-1.5
SEA +1.5
+200-278 -
+1.5
SEA -1.5
-169+140 -164+140
+2.5
SEA -2.5
-303+220 -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: SEA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
-1667+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
-909+525 -
5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-286+210 -
7
Over / Under
-227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-161+125 -
8
Over / Under
-139+105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+115-149 -
9.5
Over / Under
+140-182 -
10
Over / Under
+170-227 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 -
11
Over / Under
+250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+280-400 -
12
Over / Under
+350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
+500-909 -
14
Over / Under
+625-1250 -
14.5
Over / Under
+650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.