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Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers odds

Toronto
Blue Jays
SM rating 1515 · #12
1 – 2
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, April 16
1:40 PM ET
American Family Field
Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
TOR 44%MIL 56%
Fair moneyline
+126 / -126
TOR / MIL, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +4 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1515 / 1604
TOR / MIL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Blue Jays
Moneyline
-102
BetMGM
-102 -105
Brewers
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-118 -115
Blue Jays
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1.5+165 +1.5-208
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
+1.5-200 -1.5+175
Over
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-115 8.5-125
Under
Total
8.5+105
bet365
8.5-105 8.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.4%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIL line
-2.5
TOR +2.5
+275-400 -
-1.5
TOR +1.5
+170-227 +175-208
+1.5
TOR -1.5
-200+165 -
+2.5
TOR -2.5
-333+240 -

Top number: MIL at that line; bottom: TOR at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
-1667+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
-909+525 -
5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+300 -
6
Over / Under
-400+275 -
6.5
Over / Under
-294+210 -
7
Over / Under
-238+180 -
7.5
Over / Under
-167+125 -
8
Over / Under
-143+110 -
8.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -125+105
9
Over / Under
+110-143 -
9.5
Over / Under
+135-179 -
10
Over / Under
+165-222 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 -
11
Over / Under
+240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+333-500 -
12.5
Over / Under
+350-526 -
13
Over / Under
+450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
14
Over / Under
+600-1250 -
14.5
Over / Under
+625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.