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Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
5 – 4
Final
Twins -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, April 18
2:10 PM ET
Target Field
Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
CIN 50%MIN 50%
Fair moneyline
+101 / -101
CIN / MIN, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +4 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1468
CIN / MIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+110
BetMGM
+110 +110
Twins
Moneyline
-130
bet365
-133 -130
Reds
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1.5-189 +1.5-189
Twins
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1.5+155 -1.5+160
Over
Total
8-115
BetMGM
8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-105
BetMGM
8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.5%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIN line
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+240-333 -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+155-189 +160-189
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-238+175 -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-385+270 -

Top number: MIN at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
-1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-208+155 -
7.5
Over / Under
-143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
+100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+190-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+400-625 -
13
Over / Under
+525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
14
Over / Under
+700-1667 -
14.5
Over / Under
+700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.