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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
2 – 4
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, April 18
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
NYM 43%CHC 57%
Fair moneyline
+131 / -131
NYM / CHC, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +5 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1530
NYM / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-102 +100
Cubs
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-118 -120
Mets
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1.5+165 +1.5-208
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
+1.5-200 -1.5+175
Over
Total
8.5+100
bet365
8.5-105 8.5+100
Under
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-115 8.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.4%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+290-417 -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+175-238 +175-208
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-200+165 -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-333+240 -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-105-115 +100-120
9
Over / Under
+118-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+175-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+280-400 -
12
Over / Under
+350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
+525-909 -
14
Over / Under
+625-1250 -
14.5
Over / Under
+650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.