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Cincinnati Reds at Tampa Bay Rays odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
12 – 6
Final
Reds -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, April 21
6:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
CIN 47%TB 53%
Fair moneyline
+115 / -115
CIN / TB, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +4 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1550
CIN / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-115 -115
Rays
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-105 -105
Reds
Spread
-1.5+150
bet365
-1.5+150 -1.5+150
Rays
Spread
+1.5-179
bet365
+1.5-179 +1.5-179
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+320-476 -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+200-278 -
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-179+150 -179+150
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-333+240 -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1111+575 -
4
Over / Under
-1000+550 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-526+350 -
5.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-200+150 -
7
Over / Under
-154+120 -
7.5
Over / Under
-110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+170-227 -
9.5
Over / Under
+200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+350-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+450-769 -
12.5
Over / Under
+475-833 -
13
Over / Under
+650-1429 -
13.5
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14
Over / Under
+825-2000 -
14.5
Over / Under
+825-2500 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.