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Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds

Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
5 – 8
Final
Guardians -1.5 covered
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, April 21
6:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
HOU 43%CLE 57%
Fair moneyline
+130 / -130
HOU / CLE, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +1 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 42% (no vig)
Ratings
1506 / 1516
HOU / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Astros
Moneyline
+130
BetMGM
+130 +125
Guardians
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-154 -149
Astros
Spread
+1.5-154
BetMGM
+1.5-154 +1.5-159
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+135
bet365
-1.5+130 -1.5+135
Over
Total
8.5-120
BetMGM
8.5-120 8.5-125
Under
Total
8.5+105
bet365
8.5+100 8.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 3.9%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+175-238 -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+130-154 +135-159
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-250+185 -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-400+280 -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-2000+775 -
4
Over / Under
-1667+750 -
4.5
Over / Under
-1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
-909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-179+135 -
8
Over / Under
-154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-120+100 -125+105
9
Over / Under
+100-128 -
9.5
Over / Under
+125-167 -
10
Over / Under
+155-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+310-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+333-500 -
13
Over / Under
+425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+450-769 -
14
Over / Under
+575-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.