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Minnesota Twins at New York Mets odds

Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
5 – 3
Final
Mets -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, April 21
7:10 PM ET
Citi Field
New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
MIN 43%NYM 57%
Fair moneyline
+134 / -134
MIN / NYM, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +3 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1468 / 1493
MIN / NYM, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Twins
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+140 +140
Mets
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-167 -164
Twins
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1.5-161 +1.5-159
Mets
Spread
-1.5+135
bet365
-1.5+135 -1.5+135
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
7.5-102 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-118
BetMGM
7.5-118 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.0%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYM line
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+200-278 -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+135-161 +135-159
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-303+225 -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-556+360 -

Top number: NYM at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1000+525 -
4
Over / Under
-909+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-556+360 -
5
Over / Under
-476+320 -
5.5
Over / Under
-286+210 -
6
Over / Under
-250+185 -
6.5
Over / Under
-189+145 -
7
Over / Under
-143+110 -
7.5
Over / Under
-102-118 +100-120
8
Over / Under
+115-149 -
8.5
Over / Under
+135-175 -
9
Over / Under
+180-238 -
9.5
Over / Under
+210-286 -
10
Over / Under
+250-357 -
10.5
Over / Under
+280-400 -
11
Over / Under
+375-588 -
11.5
Over / Under
+400-625 -
12
Over / Under
+500-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
+525-909 -
13
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
13.5
Over / Under
+700-1667 -
14
Over / Under
+875-2500 -
14.5
Over / Under
+875-2500 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.