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Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians odds

Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
2 – 0
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, April 22
1:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
HOU 44%CLE 56%
Fair moneyline
+128 / -128
HOU / CLE, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +3 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1506 / 1516
HOU / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Astros
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+135 +140
Guardians
Moneyline
-161
BetMGM
-161 -164
Astros
Spread
+1.5-154
BetMGM
+1.5-154 +1.5-154
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8-120 8-115
Under
Total
8+100
BetMGM
8+100 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.1%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+185-250 -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+125-154 +130-154
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-278+200 -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-455+310 -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
-1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+190 -
7
Over / Under
-208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+115 -
8
Over / Under
-120+100 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-102-125 -
9
Over / Under
+125-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+154-200 -
10
Over / Under
+185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+275-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+300-455 -
12
Over / Under
+375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+400-625 -
13
Over / Under
+525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
+550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
+675-1429 -
14.5
Over / Under
+700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.