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Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
7 – 8
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, April 23
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
PHI 46%CHC 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
PHI / CHC, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +5 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1530
PHI / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-116 -110 -115
Cubs
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-105 -110 -105
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+140
BetMGM
-1+106 -1.5+140 -1.5+140
Cubs
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-141 +1.5-169 +1.5-164
Over
Total
9.5-105
DraftKings
9.5-105 9.5-110 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-110
BetMGM
9.5-116 9.5-110 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.7%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-4.5
PHI +4.5
+424-714 - -
-4
PHI +4
+406-667 - -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+328-500 - -
-3
PHI +3
+306-455 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+241-345 +280-400 -
-2
PHI +2
+218-303 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+172-233 +175-238 -
-1
PHI +1
+133-175 - -
+1
PHI -1
-141+106 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-164+135 -169+140 -164+140
+2
PHI -2
-217+163 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-250+185 -278+200 -
+3
PHI -3
-333+233 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-370+255 - -
+4
PHI -4
-500+325 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-526+347 - -
+5
PHI -5
-833+456 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
5.5
Over / Under
-556+358 -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
-526+335 -667+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
-385+262 -455+300 -
7
Over / Under
-323+231 -385+270 -
7.5
Over / Under
-227+167 -250+190 -
8
Over / Under
-200+150 -227+170 -
8.5
Over / Under
-164+125 -179+135 -
9
Over / Under
-135+104 -143+110 -
9.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -110-110 -110-110
10
Over / Under
+106-141 +105-139 -
10.5
Over / Under
+120-159 +125-161 -
11
Over / Under
+151-200 +160-208 -
11.5
Over / Under
+173-233 +185-250 -
12
Over / Under
+207-286 +220-303 -
12.5
Over / Under
+223-312 +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
+283-417 +310-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
+304-455 +333-500 -
14
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.