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Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox odds

Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
1 – 3
Final
Red Sox -1 covered
Under 9
vs the most common closing line
Friday, May 1
7:10 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
HOU 45%BOS 55%
Fair moneyline
+120 / -120
HOU / BOS, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +2 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1506 / 1530
HOU / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Astros
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+102 +100 +105
Red Sox
Moneyline
-120
BetMGM
-123 -120 -125
Astros
Spread
+1-152
DraftKings
+1-152 -1.5+165 +1.5-200
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+165
bet365
-1+116 +1.5-200 -1.5+165
Over
Total
9-110
bet365
9-112 9-110 9-110
Under
Total
9-109
DraftKings
9-109 9-110 9-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%4.3%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-4.5
HOU +4.5
+444-769 - -
-4
HOU +4
+420-714 - -
-3.5
HOU +3.5
+322-500 - -
-3
HOU +3
+297-435 - -
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+228-323 +250-357 -
-2
HOU +2
+203-278 - -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+156-208 +165-222 +165-200
-1
HOU +1
+116-152 - -
+1
HOU -1
-167+126 - -
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-192+156 -200+165 -
+2
HOU -2
-270+198 - -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-312+224 -333+240 -
+3
HOU -3
-435+290 - -
+3.5
HOU -3.5
-476+314 - -
+4
HOU -4
-667+410 - -
+4.5
HOU -4.5
-714+434 - -
+5
HOU -5
-1111+567 - -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+600 -
5.5
Over / Under
-526+339 -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
-476+315 -526+340 -
6.5
Over / Under
-345+242 -385+270 -
7
Over / Under
-294+210 -303+220 -
7.5
Over / Under
-204+152 -208+160 -
8
Over / Under
-179+135 -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
-147+113 -149+115 -
9
Over / Under
-112-109 -110-110 -110-110
9.5
Over / Under
+104-137 +110-143 +100-120
10
Over / Under
+124-164 +135-175 -
10.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +150-200 -
11
Over / Under
+178-244 +200-278 -
11.5
Over / Under
+202-278 +220-303 -
12
Over / Under
+245-345 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+262-385 +290-417 -
13
Over / Under
+348-556 +375-588 -
13.5
Over / Under
+374-588 +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.