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Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
7 – 17
Final
Pirates -1.5 covered
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, May 2
4:05 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
CIN 51%PIT 49%
Fair moneyline
-103 / +103
CIN / PIT, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +7 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1493
CIN / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+117 +115 +120
Pirates
Moneyline
-135
BetMGM
-143 -135 -141
Reds
Spread
+1-135
DraftKings
+1-135 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+155
bet365
-1+103 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8-116 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-105
bet365
8-105 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.7%3.8%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-5
CIN +5
+581-1250 - -
-4.5
CIN +4.5
+439-769 - -
-4
CIN +4
+414-714 - -
-3.5
CIN +3.5
+315-476 - -
-3
CIN +3
+289-435 - -
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+219-303 +250-357 -
-2
CIN +2
+192-263 - -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+153-189 +155-189 +155-185
-1
CIN +1
+103-135 - -
+1
CIN -1
-192+146 - -
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-233+171 -238+180 -
+2
CIN -2
-323+227 - -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-370+254 -400+280 -
+3
CIN -3
-526+339 - -
+3.5
CIN -3.5
-588+366 - -
+4
CIN -4
-909+489 - -
+4.5
CIN -4.5
-1000+514 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+427 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-625+383 -667+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-345+245 -357+250 -
6
Over / Under
-312+222 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-233+173 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-192+144 -200+150 -
7.5
Over / Under
-141+108 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-102-128 +105-139 -
9
Over / Under
+126-167 +135-179 -
9.5
Over / Under
+151-200 +165-222 -
10
Over / Under
+182-250 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+200-278 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+266-385 +290-417 -
11.5
Over / Under
+293-435 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+361-556 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+380-625 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +725-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.