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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds

Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
3 – 11
Final
Yankees -1.5 covered
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, May 3
1:35 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
BAL 38%NYY 62%
Fair moneyline
+160 / -160
BAL / NYY, no vig
Market win %
28% / 72%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BAL +10 pts
SharpModels 38% · market 28% (no vig)
Ratings
1502 / 1556
BAL / NYY, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 10 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Orioles
Moneyline
+240
BetMGM
+238 +240 +235
Yankees
Moneyline
-294
bet365
-303 -303 -294
Orioles
Spread
+1.5+125
bet365
+2.5-127 +1.5+115 +1.5+125
Yankees
Spread
-2.5-103
DraftKings
-2.5-103 -1.5-139 -1.5-149
Over
Total
9-105
bet365
9-105 9-105 9-105
Under
Total
9-115
bet365
9-116 9-115 9-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.6%4.4%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYY line
-7.5
BAL +7.5
+472-833 - -
-7
BAL +7
+470-833 - -
-6.5
BAL +6.5
+363-588 - -
-6
BAL +6
+339-526 - -
-5.5
BAL +5.5
+263-385 - -
-5
BAL +5
+240-345 - -
-4.5
BAL +4.5
+189-256 - -
-4
BAL +4
+170-227 - -
-3.5
BAL +3.5
+138-182 - -
-3
BAL +3
+119-156 - -
-2.5
BAL +2.5
-103-127 +115-149 -
-2
BAL +2
-128-102 - -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
-149+123 -139+115 -149+125
-1
BAL +1
-250+182 - -
+1
BAL -1
-476+310 - -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
-526+339 -526+340 -
+2
BAL -2
-833+463 - -
+2.5
BAL -2.5
-909+491 -909+500 -

Top number: NYY at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+825 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+319 -526+350 -
6
Over / Under
-435+293 -476+320 -
6.5
Over / Under
-312+224 -357+250 -
7
Over / Under
-263+194 -294+210 -
7.5
Over / Under
-192+143 -200+154 -
8
Over / Under
-167+125 -175+135 -
8.5
Over / Under
-135+104 -139+105 -
9
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
9.5
Over / Under
+112-147 +118-154 -
10
Over / Under
+134-175 +145-189 -
10.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+193-263 +210-286 -
11.5
Over / Under
+217-303 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+264-385 +290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+282-417 +300-455 -
13
Over / Under
+363-588 +400-625 -
13.5
Over / Under
+385-625 +425-714 -
14
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.