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Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
7 – 2
Final
Phillies -1.5 covered
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, May 3
1:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
PHI 52%MIA 48%
Fair moneyline
-110 / +110
PHI / MIA, no vig
Market win %
56% / 44%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +4 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1491
PHI / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-139
BetMGM
-145 -139 -141
Marlins
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+119 +118 +120
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+120
bet365
-1-115 -1.5+118 -1.5+120
Marlins
Spread
+1.5-139
BetMGM
+1-115 +1.5-139 +1.5-141
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8-119 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-102
DraftKings
8-102 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.6%3.9%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-4
PHI +4
+620-1429 - -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+473-833 - -
-3
PHI +3
+447-769 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+336-526 +350-526 -
-2
PHI +2
+308-455 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+228-323 +220-303 -
-1
PHI +1
+180-244 - -
+1
PHI -1
-115-115 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-145+119 -139+118 -141+120
+2
PHI -2
-192+145 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-227+169 -278+200 -
+3
PHI -3
-303+219 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-345+244 - -
+4
PHI -4
-476+319 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-526+343 - -
+5
PHI -5
-833+458 - -
+5.5
PHI -5.5
-833+484 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+426 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-625+382 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-345+245 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-312+223 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+176 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+147 -208+155 -
7.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-119-102 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-104-125 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+122-161 +130-169 -
9.5
Over / Under
+146-192 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+176-238 +185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+194-263 +210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+259-370 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+286-417 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+353-556 +375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+371-588 +400-625 -
13
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +725-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.