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Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds

Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
4 – 5
Final
Mariners -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Monday, May 4
9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
Seattle
Mariners
SM rating 1495 · #15
ATL 48%SEA 52%
Fair moneyline
+109 / -109
ATL / SEA, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +4 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1536 / 1495
ATL / SEA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Braves
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+119 +110 +120
Mariners
Moneyline
-133
BetMGM
-145 -133 -141
Braves
Spread
+1-132
DraftKings
+1-132 +1.5-182 +1.5-179
Mariners
Spread
-1.5+150
bet365
-1+101 -1.5+150 -1.5+150
Over
Total
7.5-120
BetMGM
8-109 7.5-120 8-105
Under
Total
8-112
DraftKings
8-112 7.5+100 8-115
Margin
Moneyline
2.5% 4.6%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SEA line
-5
ATL +5
+566-1111 - -
-4.5
ATL +4.5
+429-714 - -
-4
ATL +4
+403-667 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
+305-455 - -
-3
ATL +3
+279-400 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
+212-294 +220-303 -
-2
ATL +2
+186-256 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
+149-182 +150-182 +150-179
-1
ATL +1
+101-132 - -
+1
ATL -1
-204+152 - -
+1.5
ATL -1.5
-244+180 -238+175 -
+2
ATL -2
-345+239 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
-385+267 -400+275 -
+3
ATL -3
-556+354 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
-625+380 - -
+4
ATL -4
-909+502 - -
+4.5
ATL -4.5
-1000+526 - -

Top number: SEA at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-667+408 -667+400 -
5
Over / Under
-588+362 -588+375 -
5.5
Over / Under
-323+229 -333+240 -
6
Over / Under
-286+206 -294+210 -
6.5
Over / Under
-217+162 -222+165 -
7
Over / Under
-175+134 -169+130 -
7.5
Over / Under
-132+101 -120+100 -120+100
8
Over / Under
-109-112 -102-125 -105-115
8.5
Over / Under
+104-137 +115-149 -
9
Over / Under
+136-179 +154-200 -
9.5
Over / Under
+161-217 +185-250 -
10
Over / Under
+198-270 +220-303 -
10.5
Over / Under
+218-303 +250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+293-435 +325-500 -
11.5
Over / Under
+321-500 +350-526 -
12
Over / Under
+401-667 +425-714 -
12.5
Over / Under
+421-714 +450-769 -
13
Over / Under
- +600-1250 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -
14
Over / Under
- +775-2000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +800-2000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.