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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
2 – 6
Final
Guardians -1 did not cover
Under 9
vs the most common closing line
Monday, May 4
7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
CLE 51%KC 49%
Fair moneyline
-102 / +102
CLE / KC, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +2 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1462
CLE / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
-102
DraftKings
-102 -102 -105
Royals
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-119 -118 -115
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+121 -1.5+155 +1.5-204
Royals
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-159 +1.5-189 -1.5+170
Over
Total
9-110
bet365
9-116 9-115 9-110
Under
Total
9-105
DraftKings
9-105 9-105 9-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.6%4.4%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-4.5
CLE +4.5
+463-833 - -
-4
CLE +4
+437-769 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
+329-500 - -
-3
CLE +3
+304-455 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+232-323 +270-385 -
-2
CLE +2
+208-286 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+162-217 +165-222 +170-204
-1
CLE +1
+121-159 - -
+1
CLE -1
-159+121 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-185+150 -189+155 -
+2
CLE -2
-256+187 - -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-294+211 -333+240 -
+3
CLE -3
-400+276 - -
+3.5
CLE -3.5
-455+301 - -
+4
CLE -4
-667+395 - -
+4.5
CLE -4.5
-714+420 - -
+5
CLE -5
-1000+540 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
5.5
Over / Under
-526+347 -588+375 -
6
Over / Under
-500+321 -526+350 -
6.5
Over / Under
-345+245 -385+270 -
7
Over / Under
-294+212 -333+240 -
7.5
Over / Under
-204+152 -222+165 -
8
Over / Under
-179+136 -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
-149+113 -154+118 -
9
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -110-110
9.5
Over / Under
+105-137 +110-143 -
10
Over / Under
+124-164 +130-169 -
10.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +150-200 -
11
Over / Under
+179-244 +185-250 -
11.5
Over / Under
+202-278 +220-303 -
12
Over / Under
+244-345 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+261-385 +280-400 -
13
Over / Under
+342-526 +375-588 -
13.5
Over / Under
+367-588 +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +525-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.