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Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros odds

Los Angeles
Dodgers
SM rating 1581 · #2
8 – 3
Final
Dodgers -1.5 covered
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Monday, May 4
8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
LAD 55%HOU 45%
Fair moneyline
-121 / +121
LAD / HOU, no vig
Market win %
64% / 36%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +10 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 36% (no vig)
Ratings
1581 / 1506
LAD / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Dodgers
Moneyline
-200
DraftKings
-200 -208 -204
Astros
Moneyline
+170
BetMGM
+163 +170 +170
Dodgers
Spread
-2-106
DraftKings
-2-106 -1.5-128 -1.5-125
Astros
Spread
+1.5+105
BetMGM
+2-123 +1.5+105 +1.5+105
Over
Total
9-115
BetMGM
9-116 9-115 9-115
Under
Total
9-105
DraftKings
9-105 9-105 9-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.4%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-2.5
LAD +2.5
+422-714 +450-769 -
-2
LAD +2
+394-667 - -
-1.5
LAD +1.5
+289-435 +300-455 -
-1
LAD +1
+243-345 - -
+1
LAD -1
+131-172 - -
+1.5
LAD -1.5
+104-127 +105-128 +105-125
+2
LAD -2
-123-106 - -
+2.5
LAD -2.5
-152+115 -169+130 -
+3
LAD -3
-192+144 - -
+3.5
LAD -3.5
-222+165 - -
+4
LAD -4
-286+208 - -
+4.5
LAD -4.5
-323+231 - -
+5
LAD -5
-435+295 - -
+5.5
LAD -5.5
-476+317 - -
+6
LAD -6
-667+410 - -
+6.5
LAD -6.5
-714+433 - -
+7
LAD -7
-1111+558 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: LAD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
-526+338 -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
-476+313 -526+340 -
6.5
Over / Under
-333+238 -385+270 -
7
Over / Under
-286+206 -333+240 -
7.5
Over / Under
-200+149 -222+165 -
8
Over / Under
-175+133 -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
-147+112 -149+115 -
9
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -115-105
9.5
Over / Under
+103-135 +110-143 -
10
Over / Under
+122-161 +130-169 -
10.5
Over / Under
+138-182 +150-200 -
11
Over / Under
+174-238 +190-250 -
11.5
Over / Under
+197-270 +220-303 -
12
Over / Under
+240-345 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+258-370 +280-400 -
13
Over / Under
+334-526 +375-588 -
13.5
Over / Under
+357-556 +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.