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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
6 – 7
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, May 6
7:40 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
CIN 41%CHC 59%
Fair moneyline
+142 / -142
CIN / CHC, no vig
Market win %
39% / 61%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +2 pts
SharpModels 41% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1530
CIN / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+145
BetMGM
+140 +145 +145
Cubs
Moneyline
-169
DraftKings
-169 -175 -169
Reds
Spread
+1-109
DraftKings
+1-109 +1.5-149 +1.5-149
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+125
BetMGM
-1-120 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Over
Total
8-115
BetMGM
8-118 8-115 8-120
Under
Total
8+100
bet365
8-103 8-105 8+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.3%4.3%3.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5.5
CIN +5.5
+547-1000 - -
-5
CIN +5
+520-1000 - -
-4.5
CIN +4.5
+384-625 - -
-4
CIN +4
+357-556 - -
-3.5
CIN +3.5
+267-385 - -
-3
CIN +3
+240-345 - -
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+182-250 +175-238 -
-2
CIN +2
+157-213 - -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+128-156 +125-149 +125-149
-1
CIN +1
-120-109 - -
+1
CIN -1
-238+178 - -
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-286+205 -294+210 -
+2
CIN -2
-417+282 - -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-476+312 -476+325 -
+3
CIN -3
-714+425 - -
+3.5
CIN -3.5
-769+453 - -
+4
CIN -4
-1250+610 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+458 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-667+412 -667+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+259 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-333+234 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-244+180 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-200+149 -200+154 -
7.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-118-103 -115-105 -120+100
8.5
Over / Under
-103-127 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+128-169 +135-179 -
9.5
Over / Under
+155-208 +165-222 -
10
Over / Under
+190-263 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+210-294 +210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+284-417 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+312-476 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+384-625 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+402-667 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +725-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.