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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
1 – 5
Final
Mets -1 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, May 10
4:10 PM ET
Chase Field
Arizona
Diamondbacks
SM rating 1520 · #10
NYM 45%ARI 55%
Fair moneyline
+124 / -124
NYM / ARI, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ARI +4 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1520
NYM / ARI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
-105
BetMGM
-105 -105 -105
Diamondbacks
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
-116 -115 -115
Mets
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+115 -1.5+155 +1.5-208
Diamondbacks
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-152 +1.5-189 -1.5+175
Over
Total
8.5-119
DraftKings
8.5-119 8.5-120 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+100
BetMGM
8.5-102 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.7%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ARI line
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+486-909 - -
-4
NYM +4
+461-833 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+349-556 - -
-3
NYM +3
+325-500 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+251-357 +280-400 -
-2
NYM +2
+224-312 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+171-233 +175-238 +175-208
-1
NYM +1
+127-169 - -
+1
NYM -1
-152+115 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-175+142 -189+155 -
+2
NYM -2
-238+175 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-270+198 -333+240 -
+3
NYM -3
-370+257 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-417+281 - -
+4
NYM -4
-588+367 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-625+391 - -
+5
NYM -5
-1000+521 - -

Top number: ARI at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-417+284 -476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-370+261 -417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-286+205 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-238+175 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-169+129 -179+135 -
8
Over / Under
-147+113 -154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-119-102 -120+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
+101-132 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+121-159 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+144-192 +155-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+161-217 +175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+209-286 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+234-333 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+286-417 +310-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+304-455 +325-500 -
13
Over / Under
+402-667 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+427-714 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.