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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds

New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
6 – 2
Final
Yankees -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, May 12
6:35 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
NYY 54%BAL 46%
Fair moneyline
-120 / +120
NYY / BAL, no vig
Market win %
56% / 44%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BAL +1 pts
SharpModels 46% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1556 / 1502
NYY / BAL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Yankees
Moneyline
-135
bet365
-145 -139 -135
Orioles
Moneyline
+119
DraftKings
+119 +118 +115
Yankees
Spread
-1.5+125
bet365
-1-118 -1.5+115 -1.5+125
Orioles
Spread
+1.5-135
BetMGM
+1-111 +1.5-135 +1.5-149
Over
Total
9+100
DraftKings
9+100 8.5-120 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+100
BetMGM
9-120 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 4.6%3.9%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BAL line
-3.5
NYY +3.5
+439-769 - -
-3
NYY +3
+413-714 - -
-2.5
NYY +2.5
+309-455 +340-526 -
-2
NYY +2
+282-417 - -
-1.5
NYY +1.5
+214-294 +220-303 -
-1
NYY +1
+172-233 - -
+1
NYY -1
-111-118 - -
+1.5
NYY -1.5
-137+113 -135+115 -149+125
+2
NYY -2
-182+137 - -
+2.5
NYY -2.5
-213+159 -208+160 -
+3
NYY -3
-278+201 - -
+3.5
NYY -3.5
-312+223 - -
+4
NYY -4
-417+285 - -
+4.5
NYY -4.5
-455+307 - -
+5
NYY -5
-667+398 - -
+5.5
NYY -5.5
-714+422 - -
+6
NYY -6
-1111+548 - -

Top number: BAL at that line; bottom: NYY at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-435+294 -476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-400+271 -455+300 -
6.5
Over / Under
-294+212 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-250+182 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-179+134 -182+140 -
8
Over / Under
-156+118 -154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-130-101 -120+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
+100-120 +100-128 -
9.5
Over / Under
+117-154 +125-161 -
10
Over / Under
+139-185 +154-200 -
10.5
Over / Under
+155-208 +175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+202-278 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+227-323 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+275-400 +310-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+293-435 +325-500 -
13
Over / Under
+385-625 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+409-667 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.