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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
2 – 1
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, May 12
6:45 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
PHI 49%BOS 51%
Fair moneyline
+104 / -104
PHI / BOS, no vig
Market win %
55% / 45%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +7 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1530
PHI / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-135
bet365
-137 -139 -135
Red Sox
Moneyline
+118
BetMGM
+113 +118 +115
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+125
bet365
-1-109 -1.5+120 -1.5+125
Red Sox
Spread
+1.5-143
BetMGM
+1-120 +1.5-143 +1.5-149
Over
Total
8-115
BetMGM
8-116 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-105
BetMGM
8-105 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%3.9%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+493-909 - -
-3
PHI +3
+465-833 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+342-526 +350-526 -
-2
PHI +2
+313-476 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+232-323 +220-303 -
-1
PHI +1
+178-244 - -
+1
PHI -1
-120-109 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-149+123 -143+120 -149+125
+2
PHI -2
-204+152 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-238+177 -238+180 -
+3
PHI -3
-323+228 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-357+253 - -
+4
PHI -4
-500+330 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-556+355 - -
+5
PHI -5
-833+464 - -
+5.5
PHI -5.5
-909+488 - -
+6
PHI -6
-1429+620 - -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-667+406 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-588+363 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-333+233 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-294+213 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-233+171 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-189+142 -200+154 -
7.5
Over / Under
-139+106 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-102-128 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+124-164 +135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+148-196 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+178-244 +190-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+195-270 +210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+255-370 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+281-417 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+339-526 +375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+355-556 +400-625 -
13
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.