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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
3 – 1
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, May 13
7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
SD 45%MIL 55%
Fair moneyline
+123 / -123
SD / MIL, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +5 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1604
SD / MIL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+139 +140 +140
Brewers
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-169 -167 -164
Padres
Spread
+1-115
DraftKings
+1-115 +1.5-169 +1.5-164
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1-114 -1.5+140 -1.5+140
Over
Total
7+105
bet365
7+102 7+105 7+105
Under
Total
7-123
DraftKings
7-123 7-125 7-125
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.0%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIL line
-5.5
SD +5.5
+544-1000 - -
-5
SD +5
+521-1000 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+398-667 - -
-4
SD +4
+374-588 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+285-417 - -
-3
SD +3
+261-370 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+202-278 +220-303 -
-2
SD +2
+176-238 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+139-169 +140-169 +140-164
-1
SD +1
-114-115 - -
+1
SD -1
-244+181 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-294+212 -333+240 -
+2
SD -2
-435+293 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-500+324 -588+375 -
+3
SD -3
-769+443 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-833+471 - -
+4
SD -4
-1429+640 - -

Top number: MIL at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-526+347 -714+425 -
4
Over / Under
-476+319 -625+400 -
4.5
Over / Under
-333+236 -400+280 -
5
Over / Under
-270+198 -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
-182+136 -200+154 -
6
Over / Under
-156+119 -169+130 -
6.5
Over / Under
-128-101 -139+105 -
7
Over / Under
+102-123 +105-125 +105-125
7.5
Over / Under
+121-159 +130-169 -
8
Over / Under
+146-196 +165-222 -
8.5
Over / Under
+164-222 +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
+214-294 +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
+240-345 +280-400 -
10
Over / Under
+296-435 +350-526 -
10.5
Over / Under
+315-476 +375-588 -
11
Over / Under
+416-714 +500-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
+441-769 +525-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -
13
Over / Under
- +900-2500 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +950-3333 -
14
Over / Under
- +1100-5000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +1100-5000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.