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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
1 – 9
Final
Marlins -1 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, May 14
1:40 PM ET
Target Field
Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
MIA 48%MIN 52%
Fair moneyline
+109 / -109
MIA / MIN, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +3 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1468
MIA / MIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-116 -110 -115
Twins
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-105 -110 -105
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+106 -1.5+155 +1.5-227
Twins
Spread
+1-139
DraftKings
+1-139 +1.5-189 -1.5+185
Over
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
9-105 8.5-115 8.5-120
Under
Total
9-115
DraftKings
9-115 8.5-105 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.7%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIN line
-4.5
MIA +4.5
+512-1000 - -
-4
MIA +4
+487-909 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+365-588 - -
-3
MIA +3
+340-526 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+260-370 +280-400 -
-2
MIA +2
+234-333 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+179-244 +175-238 +185-227
-1
MIA +1
+137-182 - -
+1
MIA -1
-139+106 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-164+134 -189+155 -
+2
MIA -2
-227+167 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-263+192 -333+240 -
+3
MIA -3
-357+251 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-400+276 - -
+4
MIA -4
-588+362 - -
+4.5
MIA -4.5
-625+387 - -
+5
MIA -5
-909+507 - -

Top number: MIN at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
5
Over / Under
-833+456 -833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-500+327 -455+310 -
6
Over / Under
-455+302 -400+280 -
6.5
Over / Under
-323+231 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-270+199 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-192+144 -169+130 -
8
Over / Under
-167+126 -143+110 -
8.5
Over / Under
-135+104 -115-105 -120+100
9
Over / Under
-105-115 +110-143 -
9.5
Over / Under
+112-147 +135-175 -
10
Over / Under
+133-175 +165-222 -
10.5
Over / Under
+149-196 +180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+191-263 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+216-303 +270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+262-385 +325-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+280-417 +340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+377-588 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+405-667 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +600-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.