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Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
7 – 6
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, May 15
7:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
CIN 43%CLE 57%
Fair moneyline
+133 / -133
CIN / CLE, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +1 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 56% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1516
CIN / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+118 +118 +120
Guardians
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-143 -143 -141
Reds
Spread
+1-132
DraftKings
+1-132 +1.5-182 +1.5-179
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+150
bet365
-1+101 -1.5+150 -1.5+150
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-111 7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-109
DraftKings
7.5-109 7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.5%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5
CIN +5
+574-1111 - -
-4.5
CIN +4.5
+434-714 - -
-4
CIN +4
+409-667 - -
-3.5
CIN +3.5
+310-476 +340-526 -
-3
CIN +3
+284-417 - -
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+216-303 +220-303 -
-2
CIN +2
+189-256 - -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+152-185 +150-182 +150-179
-1
CIN +1
+101-132 - -
+1
CIN -1
-200+150 - -
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-238+177 -250+185 -
+2
CIN -2
-345+241 - -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-400+270 -455+300 -
+3
CIN -3
-556+361 - -
+3.5
CIN -3.5
-625+388 -769+450 -
+4
CIN -4
-1000+530 - -
+4.5
CIN -4.5
-1111+557 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1900 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4.5
Over / Under
-588+372 -625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-500+327 -526+340 -
5.5
Over / Under
-294+209 -303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-256+186 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-196+147 -200+150 -
7
Over / Under
-156+119 -154+120 -
7.5
Over / Under
-111-109 -110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+100-132 +105-139 -105-115
8.5
Over / Under
+115-152 +125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+149-200 +170-227 -
9.5
Over / Under
+174-238 +200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+215-294 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+234-333 +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
+313-476 +350-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+341-526 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+423-714 +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+442-769 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.