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Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
11 – 9
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Friday, May 15
6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
PHI 53%PIT 47%
Fair moneyline
-112 / +112
PHI / PIT, no vig
Market win %
45% / 55%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +8 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1493
PHI / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
+115
BetMGM
+113 +115 +115
Pirates
Moneyline
-135
bet365
-137 -139 -135
Phillies
Spread
+1-141
DraftKings
+1-141 +1.5-189 +1.5-189
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1+107 -1.5+155 -1.5+160
Over
Total
8-110
bet365
8.5-103 8-115 8-110
Under
Total
8.5-118
DraftKings
8.5-118 8-105 8-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.5%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-5
PHI +5
+600-1250 - -
-4.5
PHI +4.5
+457-833 - -
-4
PHI +4
+431-714 - -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+322-500 +360-556 -
-3
PHI +3
+297-435 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+225-312 +240-333 -
-2
PHI +2
+199-270 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+158-196 +155-189 +160-189
-1
PHI +1
+107-141 - -
+1
PHI -1
-189+143 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-227+170 -238+180 -
+2
PHI -2
-312+222 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-357+247 -400+280 -
+3
PHI -3
-500+324 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-556+349 -714+425 -
+4
PHI -4
-769+455 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-833+479 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+414 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-588+372 -667+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-345+242 -357+250 -
6
Over / Under
-312+221 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+176 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+148 -200+150 -
7.5
Over / Under
-147+111 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-125-104 -115-105 -110-110
8.5
Over / Under
-103-118 +105-139 -
9
Over / Under
+117-154 +135-179 -
9.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +165-222 -
10
Over / Under
+168-227 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+186-250 +210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+243-345 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+269-385 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+329-500 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+347-556 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.