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Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
6 – 0
Final
Phillies -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, May 16
4:05 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
PHI 53%PIT 47%
Fair moneyline
-112 / +112
PHI / PIT, no vig
Market win %
61% / 39%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PIT +8 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1493
PHI / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-169
bet365
-172 -175 -169
Pirates
Moneyline
+145
bet365
+141 +145 +145
Phillies
Spread
-1.5-103
DraftKings
-1.5-103 -1.5-105 -1.5-105
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-115
bet365
+1.5-118 +1.5-115 +1.5-115
Over
Total
8.5-102
BetMGM
8.5-109 8.5-102 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-112
DraftKings
8.5-112 8.5-118 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%4.3%3.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-3
PHI +3
+540-1000 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+398-667 +400-625 -
-2
PHI +2
+368-588 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+269-385 +270-385 -
-1
PHI +1
+218-303 - -
+1
PHI -1
+108-143 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-118-103 -115-105 -115-105
+2
PHI -2
-156+118 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-185+140 -208+155 -
+3
PHI -3
-244+179 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-278+203 -333+240 -
+4
PHI -4
-385+262 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-417+286 -526+340 -
+5
PHI -5
-625+380 - -
+5.5
PHI -5.5
-667+407 - -
+6
PHI -6
-1000+540 - -
+6.5
PHI -6.5
-1111+565 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+457 -833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-667+412 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+261 -400+280 -
6
Over / Under
-333+237 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+156 -222+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-154+117 -154+118 -
8
Over / Under
-133+101 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-109-112 -102-118 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+115-152 +125-161 -
9.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +150-200 -
10
Over / Under
+169-227 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+187-256 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+248-357 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+274-400 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+343-526 +350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+363-588 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.