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Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
10 – 4
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, May 27
6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
CHC 52%PIT 48%
Fair moneyline
-108 / +108
CHC / PIT, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +5 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1493
CHC / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+104 +105 +105
Pirates
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-125 -125 -125
Cubs
Spread
+1.5-189
bet365
+1-147 +1.5-200 +1.5-189
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+113 -1.5+165 -1.5+160
Over
Total
9+100
bet365
8.5-123 9+100 9+100
Under
Total
8.5+101
DraftKings
8.5+101 9-120 9-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.4%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-4.5
CHC +4.5
+469-833 - -
-4
CHC +4
+444-769 - -
-3.5
CHC +3.5
+333-500 +375-588 -
-3
CHC +3
+306-455 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+229-323 +250-357 -
-2
CHC +2
+202-278 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+152-204 +165-200 +160-189
-1
CHC +1
+113-147 - -
+1
CHC -1
-167+127 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-192+157 -208+160 -
+2
CHC -2
-270+195 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-303+220 -357+250 -
+3
CHC -3
-435+293 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-476+320 -556+360 -
+4
CHC -4
-714+426 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-769+452 - -
+5
CHC -5
-1250+598 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1550 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+825 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+307 -500+333 -
6
Over / Under
-417+282 -455+310 -
6.5
Over / Under
-303+216 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-250+184 -278+200 -
7.5
Over / Under
-175+134 -189+145 -
8
Over / Under
-154+117 -161+125 -
8.5
Over / Under
-123+101 -128+100 -
9
Over / Under
-102-128 +100-120 +100-120
9.5
Over / Under
+118-156 +125-161 -
10
Over / Under
+140-185 +150-200 -
10.5
Over / Under
+156-208 +165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+202-278 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+227-323 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+277-400 +300-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+295-435 +320-476 -
13
Over / Under
+392-625 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+418-714 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.