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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
4 – 9
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, May 30
4:05 PM ET
Nationals Park
Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
SD 55%WSH 45%
Fair moneyline
-123 / +123
SD / WSH, no vig
Market win %
54% / 46%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +1 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1462
SD / WSH, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
-125
BetMGM
-137 -125 -125
Nationals
Moneyline
+113
DraftKings
+113 +105 +105
Padres
Spread
-1.5+135
BetMGM
-1-105 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Nationals
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1-125 +1.5-167 +1.5-159
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-115 7.5-115 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-105
BetMGM
7.5-106 7.5-105 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.4% 4.5%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

WSH line
-4
SD +4
+680-1667 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+486-909 +500-909 -
-3
SD +3
+456-833 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+327-500 +333-500 -
-2
SD +2
+296-435 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+216-303 +210-286 -
-1
SD +1
+169-227 - -
+1
SD -1
-125-105 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-159+130 -167+135 -159+135
+2
SD -2
-222+166 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-263+194 -286+210 -
+3
SD -3
-385+263 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-435+292 -455+310 -
+4
SD -4
-667+401 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-714+430 - -
+5
SD -5
-1250+593 - -
+5.5
SD -5.5
-1250+620 - -

Top number: WSH at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+380 -667+400 -
5
Over / Under
-500+333 -556+360 -
5.5
Over / Under
-294+211 -303+225 -
6
Over / Under
-256+189 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-200+150 -208+155 -
7
Over / Under
-159+121 -161+125 -
7.5
Over / Under
-115-106 -115-105 -110-110
8
Over / Under
-101-130 +105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+115-152 +120-154 -
9
Over / Under
+152-204 +160-208 -
9.5
Over / Under
+180-244 +185-250 -
10
Over / Under
+223-312 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+243-345 +250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+334-526 +333-500 -
11.5
Over / Under
+364-588 +360-556 -
12
Over / Under
+465-833 +450-769 -
12.5
Over / Under
+486-909 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.