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Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
5 – 1
Final
Pirates -1 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, June 4
8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
PIT 44%HOU 56%
Fair moneyline
+130 / -130
PIT / HOU, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +6 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1506
PIT / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
-102
BetMGM
-109 -102 -105
Astros
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-112 -110 -115
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+154
BetMGM
-1+117 -1.5+154 +1.5-208
Astros
Spread
+1.5-182
BetMGM
+1-154 +1.5-182 -1.5+175
Over
Total
8.5-110
bet365
8.5-112 8.5-110 8.5-110
Under
Total
8.5-108
DraftKings
8.5-108 8.5-110 8.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.7%2.8%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+528-1000 - -
-4
PIT +4
+504-909 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+379-625 +425-714 -
-3
PIT +3
+350-556 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+258-370 +280-400 -
-2
PIT +2
+230-323 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+171-233 +180-238 +175-208
-1
PIT +1
+129-169 - -
+1
PIT -1
-154+117 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-185+150 -182+154 -
+2
PIT -2
-263+191 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-303+219 -333+240 -
+3
PIT -3
-435+295 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-500+323 -526+340 -
+4
PIT -4
-714+433 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-833+459 - -
+5
PIT -5
-1250+620 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+418 -833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+269 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-357+247 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-263+194 -286+210 -
7
Over / Under
-222+164 -238+175 -
7.5
Over / Under
-159+121 -161+125 -
8
Over / Under
-139+105 -139+105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -110-110 -110-110
9
Over / Under
+108-141 +115-149 -
9.5
Over / Under
+130-172 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+155-208 +175-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+172-233 +185-250 -
11
Over / Under
+223-312 +250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+247-357 +275-400 -
12
Over / Under
+303-455 +340-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+321-476 +360-556 -
13
Over / Under
+425-714 +475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.