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San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
3 – 7
Final
Orioles -1.5 covered
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, June 12
7:05 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
SD 50%BAL 50%
Fair moneyline
+100 / -100
SD / BAL, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +4 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1502
SD / BAL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+109 +105 +110
Orioles
Moneyline
-128
BetMGM
-132 -128 -130
Padres
Spread
+1.5-169
bet365
+1-135 +1.5-169 +1.5-169
Orioles
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1+103 -1.5+140 -1.5+145
Over
Total
9.5-110
bet365
9.5-112 9.5-110 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-108
DraftKings
9.5-108 9.5-110 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.7%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BAL line
-5
SD +5
+529-1000 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+404-667 - -
-4
SD +4
+380-625 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+291-435 +270-385 -
-3
SD +3
+267-385 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+206-286 +185-250 -
-2
SD +2
+180-244 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+143-175 +140-169 +145-169
-1
SD +1
+103-135 - -
+1
SD -1
-182+136 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-217+162 -208+160 -
+2
SD -2
-294+211 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-333+237 -333+240 -
+3
SD -3
-476+313 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-526+339 -526+350 -
+4
SD -4
-769+443 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-833+466 - -

Top number: BAL at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
- -667+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -455+310 -
7
Over / Under
- -400+275 -
7.5
Over / Under
- -250+190 -
8
Over / Under
- -227+170 -
8.5
Over / Under
- -179+135 -
9
Over / Under
- -143+110 -
9.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -110-110 -110-110
10
Over / Under
- +105-139 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +120-154 -
11
Over / Under
- +155-208 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +185-250 -
12
Over / Under
- +220-303 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
- +310-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +333-500 -
14
Over / Under
- +400-667 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
15
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.