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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
6 – 4
Final
Phillies -1 did not cover
Push on 10
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, June 18
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
NYM 39%PHI 61%
Fair moneyline
+154 / -154
NYM / PHI, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +7 pts
SharpModels 61% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1544
NYM / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+103 +105 +105
Phillies
Moneyline
-125
DraftKings
-125 -125 -125
Mets
Spread
+1.5-189
bet365
+1-147 -1.5+155 +1.5-189
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1+113 +1.5-208 -1.5+160
Over
Total
10-109
DraftKings
10-109 10-115 10-115
Under
Total
10-105
BetMGM
10-112 10-105 10-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.6%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+462-833 - -
-4
NYM +4
+436-769 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+324-500 +340-526 -
-3
NYM +3
+299-455 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+227-323 +240-333 -
-2
NYM +2
+200-278 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+158-196 +165-200 +160-189
-1
NYM +1
+113-147 - -
+1
NYM -1
-169+127 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-204+152 -208+155 -
+2
NYM -2
-278+200 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-323+226 -333+240 -
+3
NYM -3
-435+296 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-500+321 -500+333 -
+4
NYM -4
-714+432 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-833+459 - -
+5
NYM -5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
5
Over / Under
- -2500+825 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
6
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
6.5
Over / Under
-500+323 -588+375 -
7
Over / Under
-435+288 -500+333 -
7.5
Over / Under
-278+202 -333+240 -
8
Over / Under
-250+182 -294+210 -
8.5
Over / Under
-196+148 -227+170 -
9
Over / Under
-167+126 -189+145 -
9.5
Over / Under
-132+100 -143+110 -
10
Over / Under
-109-112 -115-105 -115-105
10.5
Over / Under
+101-133 +100-128 -
11
Over / Under
+127-167 +125-167 -
11.5
Over / Under
+148-196 +150-200 -
12
Over / Under
+176-238 +180-238 -
12.5
Over / Under
+193-263 +200-278 -
13
Over / Under
+250-357 +250-357 -
13.5
Over / Under
+275-400 +275-400 -
14
Over / Under
+335-526 +340-500 -
14.5
Over / Under
+353-556 +360-556 -
15
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.