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Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
11 – 7
Final
Pirates -1 covered
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Monday, June 29
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
PIT 37%PHI 63%
Fair moneyline
+170 / -170
PIT / PHI, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +12 pts
SharpModels 63% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1544
PIT / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 12 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
-105
BetMGM
-108 -105 -110
Phillies
Moneyline
-110
bet365
-112 -115 -110
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+120 -1.5+155 +1.5-208
Phillies
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-156 +1.5-189 -1.5+175
Over
Total
9-102
BetMGM
9-105 9-102 9-105
Under
Total
9-115
bet365
9-115 9-118 9-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+544-1000 - -
-4
PIT +4
+518-1000 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+384-625 +400-625 -
-3
PIT +3
+355-556 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+260-370 +270-385 -
-2
PIT +2
+230-323 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+170-227 +175-238 +175-208
-1
PIT +1
+128-169 - -
+1
PIT -1
-156+120 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-189+154 -189+155 -
+2
PIT -2
-270+197 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-312+225 -333+240 -
+3
PIT -3
-455+304 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-500+333 -500+333 -
+4
PIT -4
-769+454 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-833+482 - -
+5
PIT -5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1600 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
5
Over / Under
-769+455 -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
-500+331 -526+350 -
6
Over / Under
-455+305 -476+325 -
6.5
Over / Under
-333+233 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-270+199 -294+210 -
7.5
Over / Under
-189+142 -200+150 -
8
Over / Under
-164+125 -175+135 -
8.5
Over / Under
-137+104 -143+110 -125+105
9
Over / Under
-105-115 -102-118 -105-115
9.5
Over / Under
+112-147 +120-154 -
10
Over / Under
+134-175 +145-189 -
10.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+198-270 +210-286 -
11.5
Over / Under
+225-312 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+274-400 +290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+292-435 +300-455 -
13
Over / Under
+386-625 +400-667 -
13.5
Over / Under
+411-667 +425-714 -
14
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.