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Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros odds

Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
4 – 6
Final
Twins -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, June 30
8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
MIN 40%HOU 60%
Fair moneyline
+150 / -150
MIN / HOU, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +11 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1468 / 1506
MIN / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Twins
Moneyline
-111
DraftKings
-111 -115 -115
Astros
Moneyline
-105
BetMGM
-111 -105 -105
Twins
Spread
-1.5+145
BetMGM
-1+112 -1.5+145 -1.5+145
Astros
Spread
+1.5-169
bet365
+1-147 +1.5-175 +1.5-169
Over
Total
8.5+100
bet365
8.5-102 8-120 8.5+100
Under
Total
8+100
BetMGM
8.5-119 8+100 8.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.7% 5.0%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-4
MIN +4
+620-1250 - -
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+451-769 +425-714 -
-3
MIN +3
+420-714 - -
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+300-455 +290-417 -
-2
MIN +2
+267-385 - -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+191-263 +180-238 -
-1
MIN +1
+140-185 - -
+1
MIN -1
-147+112 - -
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-172+141 -175+145 -169+145
+2
MIN -2
-244+178 - -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-286+205 -294+210 -
+3
MIN -3
-400+276 - -
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-455+305 -455+310 -
+4
MIN -4
-714+415 - -
+4.5
MIN -4.5
-769+443 - -
+5
MIN -5
-1250+592 - -
+5.5
MIN -5.5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1450 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+450 -833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-667+405 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+257 -400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-333+233 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-244+181 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-200+150 -208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -149+115 -
8
Over / Under
-125-105 -120+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-102-119 -102-125 +100-120
9
Over / Under
+118-156 +125-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +150-200 -
10
Over / Under
+168-227 +185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+242-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+268-385 +300-455 -
12
Over / Under
+330-500 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+348-556 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.